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Wednesday 20st, October 10:11:8 Am
NFL: Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots Betting Preview and Pick

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Ninkovich explains why he is not being a homer when he says he would put his money on the Patriots against the Chiefs. Rob Ninkovich breaks down what the Patriots defense did that was so successful against the Chargers. Do the Patriots need to change the scheme they used defensively against the Chargers when facing the Chiefs? Why were the Chargers so bad on Sunday? How will the weather in Kansas City impact practices and the game on Sunday?

Rob Ninkovich gives a player perspective on what it is like to play in the cold. Most of the prop bet action is concentrated on a few of the biggest star players.

Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes was by far the most popular target this year, with two different wagers making noise during the game. Mahomes rushed for the first touchdown of the game in the final seconds of the first quarter. William Hill reported that the Mahomes rushing yards bet had more money wagered on it than any other Super Bowl proposition market, with 68 percent of the money on the over meaning bookmakers scored big after those late kneel downs.

That was close to a six-figure swing [in the sportsbook’s favor], Jeff Davis, director of trading for Caesars Sportsbook, told ESPN. Pick Patriots 27, Chiefs In the immediate aftermath of the AFC divisional round, the thought was to lean toward the Chiefs because of home-field advantage.

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But after spending all week around the Patriots and seeing how they are adopting an underdog mentality and seem especially loose dancing from some players at the start of practice Thursday highlighted this point, there has been a switch.

It also came down to one of the top rules from the Patriots beat-reporting handbook If you're going to bet against Brady and Belichick, do you have full confidence in the quarterback and head c. Patriots Prediction The Chiefs are coming off an impressive performance against the Oakland Raiders at Arrowhead.

They lit up a Raiders’ defense who had no answers, allowing 40 points in a loss. Mahomes didn’t even have to do much to get the Chiefs to 40 points. He connected for yards and a touchdown, with Travis Kelce leading the Chiefs with 90 yards receiving. I think the Chiefs have been keeping a few tricks in the bag for the Patriots on Sunday.

Sports betting and gambling laws vary by jurisdiction. We are not able to verify the legality of the information we provide, or your ability to use any sites that are linked to on this site, for every combination of your location, the sites’ location, and the type of service those sites provide. Patriots - Chiefs Gambling Prediction among 6 NFL Best Bets for Week Six Action by The Football Insiders - Al DeMarco, a former contributor on Fox Sports. But smart money was also favoring the Patriots.

Smart money tends to come in early or lateearly when you want the line to move in favor of your bet, late when you don’t. Early smart money came in from bettors who expected the line to move in favor of the Patriots, as it did, so they could lock in arbitrage spreads later in the week.

Patriots also cut off big flows from smart money as it was judged to be close enough to the correct line to make most betting unprofitable. What smart money there was came in roughly evenly. Views View 3 Upvoters Answer requested by. They have lost two of their last four games, and much of their record was built against weak teams.

But fears, and anticipation, of their decline seem misplaced. In eastern Massachusetts, even the locals are wondering why the Patriots offense has appeared overmatched and inexperienced against stout recent competition like the Baltimore Ravens and Houston Texans. Week Patrick Mahomes can beat the Patriots provided he gets plenty of help from the officials.

What happens if a bet matches the over under

With the potential for frigid temperatures making its way to NFL fans, and therefore casual sports bettors, the Patriots-Chiefs overunder fell to 56 on Monday afternoon. Fields, an Odds Consultant, Monday’s move to 56 was solely to get ahead of the forecast and not a reaction to sharp money.

The Action Network’s public betting data is now reporting 60 of money wagered on the total taking the under, up significantly from the 31 late Monday night. With the forecast looking historically cold, don’t be surprised to see recreational bettors continue playing this under with the expectation that the weather will result in fewer points scored. Betting odds and lines for Chiefs-Patriots will be on the move all day in the AFC Championship Game.

We’ll be tracking every live odds update until this game kicks off at p.m.

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There’s been no line movement for nearly three hours now.

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Early betting on the World Series at DraftKings' sportsbook has been on the Red Sox, with 76 percent of the money and 66 percent of tickets on Boston. One bettor placed a, wager on the Los Angeles Dodgers to win the World Series over the weekend. Parlay A player at DraftKings parlayed Rams -3, along with Chiefs, Saints and Patriots all to win.

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The bet was 3, and won 20, Facebook. The Patriots have certainly been latching on to their new underdog persona.

There is a pretty good reason why the Chiefs are favored. Their offensive prowess goes without saying. Patrick Mahomes is an incredible talent. He has a bevy of talented pass catchers to throw to, and the running game hasn’t missed a beat since they cut Kareem Hunt.

Mahomes torched the Patriots for yards and four touchdowns back in Week Six when playing on Sunday was still new. Now Three months later he is going to be even better. So, Kansas City will score on the Patriots. But can they But the Patriots are the Patriots. No one turns it on like they do in the postseason just ask the Chargers.

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Kansas City Chiefs are playing for a Super Bowl berth for the first time in 25 years. Kansas City Chiefs recorded an impressive gome win against Indianapolis Colts last weekend. The Chiefs fell to the Patriots in the Week 6 Sunday night matchup but still managed to cover the spread as point road underdogs.

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Quarter-back Patrick Mahomes threw two interceptions, which turned out to be the difference in an extremely competitive game.

How they contain Tom Brady is going to dictate their fate. Deposit Bonus amount must be wagered 6 times min. Odds 45 prior to bonus funds and associated winnings becoming withdrawable. The Chiefs and Patriots face off Sunday in a rematch of last year’s epic AFC Championship Game. Neither team currently holds home-field advantage in the AFC, but this game could go a long way in determining playoff seeding.

Special Offer Bet 1, Win, if Tom Brady completes a pass Sunday. Opening Lines FanDuel had the odds open as Patriots OU.

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Point spread betting is the most popular form of single-game sports betting in the U.S. Learn all about point spread sports betting here. Looking at the lines above, the Kansas City Chiefs opened as the favorite over the San Francisco by points odds subject to change.

The Chiefs need to win by two or more points to cover the spread.

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Likewise, the need to win the game or lose by less than two points to cover the spread. When the money is exactly split the sportsbook operator will see the exact vigorish as their profit margin. If all things are equal over time this will maximize how much money the sportsbook operator can make. Kansas City is a 3-point favorite against the Patriots at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday.

And the majority of the public is taking Edelman’s advice betting against New England. According to Action Network, 54 percent of the money is on the Chiefs to cover the spread, as of Thursday morning. The Chiefs are against the spread this season after covering last week’s 5-point line against the Colts in the AFC Divisional Round.

They have been favored in all nine home games, and they covered the spread in five of those nine. The Patriots have not won a road playoff game against But they di. Ultimately, I think the Pats have the edge here.

Obviously, they are very attractive underdogs based on their cool + price tag at sachenmitwoertern.com, but they also are not going into a situation they’ll be unfamiliar with. The actual setting of the game gives the Chiefs an edge, but in virtually every other regard New England trumps the Chiefs. The weather impact could be a very underrated aspect to this game and if the usually potent Chiefs offense is at all slowed down, New England’s defense could take advantage of it. Patriots vs Bills Betting Preview Vegas Game Odds.

As mentioned, the Bills are officially playoff-bound. After suffering a setback against the Ravens two weekends ago, Buffalo scored a road win over the Steelers last week to get to and clinch at least a Wild Card spot. The Bills have now reached the playoffs for the second time in three years following an epic year drought. Despite securing a postseason spot, the Bills are still hoping to usurp the Patriots at the top of the AFC East.

Doing that will require Buffalo to win in New England on Saturday and then hope the Patriots los.

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The truth is I think the Patriots are going to run away with it but to be safe and because that is the premise of this article I am riding the New England Patriots Money Line. The payout is solid as long as you bet the house! Good luck out there and please remember to check out our other free NFL playoff picks courtesy of Cover the Spread. Here are the betting splits according to the actionnetworkhq as of PM EST. A bit of a shift from last week! Action Network App’s consensus lines as of 11519 5 PM EST rams at saints patriots at chiefs superbowl53 everydaywiseguys. Another team you should bet on are the Pittsburgh Steelers who began on the odds of and now with the same score as the Patriots have risen to a great odd.

If you haven’t already put some money on the Kansas City Chiefs now would be a good time to do so. The underdogs started the season on a odd and have now an odd of 1. Apart from offering great odds, Bovada wants people to choose them over the other US bookmakers and they do that by offering a great welcome bonus.

Bet on football is the motto of their Sportsbook at the time, backing it up with a very generous 50 w. Enter your email here for exclusive New England predictions and analysis.

This section is showing information as of the end the season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the NFL section about a week before the season starts, register for a free account. Team Menu New England Patriots.

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The Patrick Mahomes Show comes rolling into town at a time when the rest of the world is ready to write the obituary of Tom Brady and the New England Patriots. A heavyweight showdown with the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday represents a chance to put all of the doom and gloom talk to rest. It’s a chance for the Patriots to shift the raging locomotive into the highest gear and speed down the tracks into the playoffs.

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The vaunted defense had no answers for the Houston Texans and quarterback Deshaun Watson a week ago.

Things will get infinitely more difficult when attempting to ground the high-flyin. Jason Shearer was curious when he read Guardian Money's article on free bets. Could you really beat the bookies at no risk?

He followed our advice, made, and reckons it's even simpler than we said. Even money is a wagering proposition with even odds - the bettor stands to lose or win the same amount of money. Beyond gambling, even money can mean an event whose occurrence is about as likely to occur as not.

Even money is also known as 50 In professional gambling, even money bets typically do not have odds that are indeed 50 Therefore, successful gamblers have to examine any bets they make in light of the odds really being even money. For example, in roulette, betting on red or black is an. The Patriots have won 7 of the last 10 meetings between the two sides but are just ATS in those last 10 meetings.

The Patriots won and covered in the AFC Championship last year and the high scoring from both sides helped the game go over the total. The OU is in these last 10 meetings with the average combined score totaling around 55 points. New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs Stats. Kansas City is ATS in their last 6 games. The total has gone over in 13 of Kansas City’s last 20 games.

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Thinking in Bets is a Charlie Munger book. Those who are familiar with Charlie’s thinking will know what I mean and will need to read no further. At the crux of the book, using poker as her model, Annie Duke focuses on our tendency to confuse thinking and outcome. We judge our thinking by the outcome, ignoring the substantial uncertainty imbedded in the outcome.

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We do ourselves only emotional service, or disservice, if we dwell on the outcomeand use that to praise or wage war on ourselves.

Duke tells the story of a superb poker play, who likely became superb, because he had no desire to dwell. The Patriots, meanwhile, are coming off back-to-back blowout home wins over Miami and Indianapolis by a combined score of 76 to One of the keys to New England's success the past couple of weeks has been its ability to dominate opponents on the ground, as the Pats have out-rushed their opponents yards to 3.

Although the Chiefs have averaged passing yards per game, the Patriots under head coach Bill Belichick have consistently shut down opponents that have the ability to move the ball through the air. New England is against the spread since Belichick took over prior to the season when facing an opponent that’s averaging at least passing yards per game. The following is a list of all regular season and postseason games played between the New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs.

The two teams have met each other 38 times including 2 postseason games, with the New England Patriots winning 16 games and the Kansas City Chiefs winning 19 games.

Kansas City Chiefs lead series. Andy Reid has been with the Chiefs for 4 years now and they’ve qualified for the postseason in 3 of those years. Last season Reid was able to orchestrate a season with Alex Smith under center, and that’s easier said than done. While it’s true that the Chiefs did come out on top in the AFC West and they earned a round bye, the rest did more harm than good as Kansas City would fail to win a playoff game. The Pats will face formidable opposition in this game.

Most USA sportsbooks are favoring New England heavily on the money line and even though it might be lucrative to be against them, it’s not likely to actually win. But if you’re dead set on betting against the Pats, you might want to take a chance on that 8-point spread line.

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The Patriots will be less overawed than the Rams, given they’ve a massive 36 players who have already experienced what a Super Bowl is like whereas the Rams have four. If fact, Tom Brady has been to the Super Bowl four times in the last five years and nine times overall. Get a 10 Super Bowl Free Bet No Deposit at Sportnation. New customers only Minimum deposit of 10 using deposit code - A qualifying bet is a real money’ stake of at least 10 placed on any sports market - Minimum odds of 12 - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Deposit method and withdrawal restrictions apply. A free bet is, generally speaking, what bookies and bookmakers use to entice new punters to join their site.

With so many different bookies now available online, operators realise the importance of a competitive nature and that’s why you’ll find many firms upping the ante’ when it comes to offering the best free bet offers.

For example, some bookies will offer completely free bet no deposit offers, while others will give you a free sports bet no deposit required. It varies a lot depending on which site you play at, and in the next section of this post we’re going to take a look at some of t Matched free bets are probably the most common offer you’ll find online, and they’re offered by virtually all online betting websites.

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Garnering 76 of bets, the Patriots are currently the most public side of the week. After opening at, New England reached multiple times already, but fell back to Thursday afternoon. Why the public loves the Patriots You don’t get too many opportunities to take the Patriots at just The Chiefs opened at -5, but have been -6 around the market most of this week. They moved back to Thursday night at BookMaker despite getting 75 of spread bets.

Why the public loves Kansas City Why play the Mega Millions if you can just bet on the Chiefs for a free weekly paycheck? Kansas City hasn’t let down bettors yet and are the team since to get to the seventh game without failing to cover.

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Certain he actual is definitely one of them for useful. I have been holding that as well that he's too biased and hateful. I'm no longer a Patriots fan yet nevertheless there's a way of going about issues and his way isn't it.

I don't take crap from people who listen to Chief Keef.

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Betting Gods Review, Do Betting gods tipsters make money long term? After testing several Betting Gods services. Now I have previously done some Betting Gods reviews on a few of their popular tipsters. So I thought it would make a good article, here are my honest thoughts on betting gods. The Shady World Of Betting Tipsters. It is true that the world of sports betting tipsters is a very shady one. With a very large percentage of them offering no value what so ever.

I have written about these very popular social media tipsters that make money from the loses of players they refer to bookmakers.

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The best money-line available is Patriots at Boyd and + with the Rams at Wynn, Caesars Palace, and the Superbook. The total is dropping everywhere down to with only a few 57's remaining. Super Bowl 53 isn't until Feb. 3, but bettors were running to the windows on Sunday to bet the Patriots immediately after their overtime win at Kansas City as if it was about to kickoff.

The early perception from bettors in Las Vegas is that they love New England. In the 'what we saw last' spectrum, it was the Patriots winning a tough game on the road against the No.

1 seed while the Los Angeles Rams got lucky with some awful officiating at New Orleans.

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The Chiefs and Patriots combined for 83 points in a regular season game that turned into a shootout after halftime, and then for 67 points in the AFC Championship Game, despite only 14 points scored in the first half. The defenses are better this season, especially as of late. And the offenses have shown signs of inconsistency, particularly New England, with an increasingly obvious lack of options for quarterback Brady to target. Even so, the Chiefs and Patriots rank among the favorites to come out of the AFC next month.

While the Ravens are the betting favorite to win the AFC, the Patriots ar.

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Either the Patriots are playing mind games going into their divisional-round playoff matchup with the Kansas City Chiefs who could blame them with how Jeremy Maclin’s kneeankle ailment has been handled? Or the Patriots’ injury situation really is at a critical mass. Before a Patriots star is abducted by aliens, let’s get into this week’s mailbag. Jones be benched for a series or is this game too important?

Beyond the obvious, the Patriots have been able to stay away from situations involving the law in recent years. Linebacker Brandon Spikes was accused of leaving the scene of a crash this June and was released by the team the next day.

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The Chiefs are seemingly playing their best football of the season, so I’m sticking to my guns. Kansas City by no means has an all-world defense, but Steve Spagnuolo’s group has ball hawkers at every level and can put a lot of pressure on the opposing quarterback.

It’s been largely Patriots or bust when it comes to AFC Championship betting in recent years. Bill Belichick’s crew has appeared in eight straight AFC title games and has advanced to the Super Bowl five times during that span. Betting on the AFC title game has been extremely easy money in recent years, assuming bettors have had zero hesitance buying into the New England dynasty staying alive. The Patriots won’t stay on top forever, but history does help bettors quite a bit here.

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The Kansas City Chiefs take on the New England Patriots during Week 6 of the NFL season. Subscribe to NFL sachenmitwoertern.com Check.

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Matched betting is a no-risk technique that guarantees profit from bookmaker free bet promotions. Step-by-step matched betting guide including free oddsmatcher. Following your first or 'qualifying' real money bet, you will then be awarded the free bet by the bookmaker.

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The money line betting option is a lot like the straight bet with just a little twist. When you bet a football game on the money line, this involves a simple bet on the true winner of the game without a point spread. Lets go back to the example we used in the straight bet. In the straight bet, we liked the Bengals -5 over the Texans. With the money line bet, we could make two choices. Here are the teams you want to bet Panthers -1 Rams Patriots If all three teams hit this is how your payout would look Panthers and Rams unit bet to win Panthers and Patriots unit bet to win Rams and Patriots unit bet to win Your total bet was units and if all three win, you would win units plus your original for a total of.

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Betting can be very risky and users should only speculate with money that they can comfortably afford to lose and should ensure that the risks involved are fully understood, seeking advice if necessary. We do not provide advice or recommendations regarding betting or the risks involved.

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If there is way more action on one side of the bet, the sportsbook risks losing money when that side of the bet ends up winning. The way that the sportsbook can encourage an even amount of money being bet on both sides is by making the less popular side more attractive.

In the example above, the Chiefs started out as favorites and attracted a lot of bets. This would have made the sportsbook concerned that they would lose money if the Chiefs won. Line movement in point spread betting is all about sportsbooks making the suggested margin of victory more attractive or less attractive. If you notice the numbers in a point spread bet getting higher over time ie, more points between the teams, it means the majority of money is being placed on the favorite.

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Patriots vs Chiefs Vegas Game Odds Betting Preview. There were plenty of people that though Philip Rivers and the Chargers were going to go into Foxboro and upset the Patriots. As we all know, that didn’t even come close to happening. New England put the game away early, as they took a lead into the half and coasted to a victory.

One thing that sticks out to me is the Chiefs were able to dominate the game without a single touchdown pass from Mahomes, who went 27 of 41 for and was sacked 4 times. Damien Williams has been the unsung hero for this team, as he rushed for yards on 25 attempts. The other big storyline has to be the defense and how well it played.

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There are quite a few ways to make money from bookmakers with no free bets at all. I’ll go over these at the end of the article but it’s really unlikely that you’ll get to a situation where there are no free bets to be had. One of the questions we get asked all the time is, I’ve completed all the sign up offers so can I still make money from matched betting. Bet X Get X Similar to the sign up offers so you will already be familiar with these. Many bookmakers continue to do these offers to keep you betting week in week out and we can take advantage of them in the exact same way we did when we signed up.

Bet X Get a Casino Bonus This time we are placing our matched bet to get rewarded with a casino bonus.

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To be able to subscribe to the newsletter Email of Top Money way Betfair events register online and buy a subscription. There are the betst Top high volume bet events, odds and volumes on it. To show hidden elements in scanners buy plan. Our automatic functionality selects the best Money Way Betfair and High Volume Odds, and sends you Email with the event details, if you are subscribed to the service. The following shows statistics for these matches Total bets Total won bets Total lost bets Profit with constant sum bet.